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Why Lowest Price Loses Government Contracts (And What Actually Wins)

  • 1 day ago
  • 4 min read

New government contractors make the same mistake: 

They assume lowest price wins. So they cut margins to nothing. Underprice competitors. Submit a bid they can barely afford to deliver. Then they lose to a higher-priced competitor. 


Why? 

Because most government contracts aren't awarded to lowest price.

 


The Pricing Reality 

Government procurement uses different evaluation approaches: 

  • Best Value (Most Common for Complex Services): Technical capability weighted heavily (often 60-80% of score) Price matters but isn't determinative Best overall value wins, not lowest price.

  • Lowest Price Technically Acceptable (LPTA): Technical threshold (pass/fail) Among technically acceptable proposals, lowest price wins Less common than it used to be 

  • Tradeoff: Multiple factors considered Selection based on overall evaluation Not strictly formula-driven 


The Buyer's Perspective 

When I evaluated proposals, here's what I thought: 

Lowest price option: "Can they actually deliver at this price? Are they cutting corners? Will they try to recoup through change orders? Is this sustainable?

Mid-range price: "Reasonable. Aligns with scope. Seems realistic for the approach proposed.

Highest price: "What additional value justifies premium? Is approach genuinely better or just expensive?

Price creates perception of risk. 

Too low = capability questions Reasonable = confidence Too high = value questions 



Four Pricing Strategies That Work 

Strategy 1: Cost-Plus-Value Pricing 

Calculate actual costs: 

  • Direct labor (actual wages + burden) 

  • Materials and subcontracts 

  • Overhead allocation 

  • G&A costs 

Add reasonable profit (8-15% typical for government) 

Add value factors: 

  • Risk mitigation (your approach reduces their risk) 

  • Quality assurance (built-in quality saves them money) 

  • Efficiency (your methodology delivers faster/better) 

Present price with clear value narrative. 


Strategy 2: Total Cost of Ownership 

Don't just price initial delivery. Price long-term value. 

Your price: $500K Competitor price: $400K 

Your value story: "Our price includes comprehensive training and 6-month support that ensures your team can maintain the system independently. Competitors' lower price typically leads to $150K in additional support costs in Year 2." 

Total cost of ownership: You = $500K, Them = $550K+ 


Strategy 3: Risk-Adjusted Pricing 

Build contingency into pricing for known risks. 

Example: Fixed-price contract with scope uncertainty 

Option 1: Price assuming perfect conditions ($400K)

Risk: Scope variations force you to absorb costs 

Option 2: Price with 15% contingency for scope management ($460K)

Benefit: Protected if scope varies, competitive if it doesn't 

Explain your risk management in price narrative. 


Strategy 4: Tiered Pricing 

Offer options: 

Base Scope: Core requirements only ($400K)

Enhanced: Base + quality improvements ($475K)

Premium: Enhanced + extended support ($525K) 

Let them choose value level that fits budget. 

Shows flexibility while protecting your margins. 

Common Pricing Mistakes 

Mistake 1: Racing to Bottom 

Cutting price to "be competitive" below sustainable level. 

Result: Win contract, lose money delivering it, or cut corners and damage reputation. 

Mistake 2: No Price Justification 

Submitting price without explaining value. 

Result: Evaluators can't defend choosing you if you're not lowest price. 

Mistake 3: Mismatched Price and Approach 

Technical approach proposes senior resources. Price assumes junior labor rates. 

Result: Evaluators see disconnect, question credibility. 

Mistake 4: Ignoring Evaluation Weighting 

Price is 10% of evaluation score. You cut price 20% to be "competitive." 

Result: Reduced margin for minimal score benefit. 

Mistake 5: Not Researching Market Rates 

Pricing without understanding what similar contracts cost. 

Result: Either way too high (non-competitive) or way too low (unsustainable). 


How to Price Strategically 

Step 1: Understand Evaluation Method 

Read solicitation carefully: 

  • Best value? (price is one factor) 

  • LPTA? (lowest price among qualified) 

  • Weighting? (price worth 10% or 40% of score?) 

This determines strategy. 

Step 2: Calculate True Costs 

Don't guess. Actually calculate: 

  • Fully-burdened labor rates 

  • Actual material costs 

  • Realistic overhead allocation 

  • Real G&A costs 

Know your floor (minimum viable price). 

Step 3: Research Market 

What do similar contracts cost? 

  • Check USASpending.gov for historical awards 

  • Ask colleagues about typical rates 

  • Research labor rate databases 

  • Understand geographic market 

Step 4: Determine Your Value Proposition 

What makes your approach valuable? 

  • Risk mitigation 

  • Quality assurance 

  • Efficiency 

  • Innovation 

  • Expertise 

Quantify value where possible. 

Step 5: Price with Margin 

Add appropriate profit margin: 

  • 5-10% for very competitive situations 

  • 8-15% for typical government work 

  • 15-25% for specialized/risky work 

Margin should reflect risk and value. 

Step 6: Write Price Narrative 

Explain your price: 

  • Cost breakdown (transparency builds trust) 

  • Value elements (what they get for the price) 

  • Risk mitigation (contingencies built in) 

  • Why this represents best value 


The Price Narrative Matters 

Weak narrative: "Our competitive price of $485,000 delivers quality results.

Strong narrative: "Our price of $485,000 reflects

Labor: Senior consultants (not junior staff) with healthcare IT expertise specific to your requirements: $320,000 

Risk Mitigation: 15% contingency for scope variations (typical in projects like this): $48,000 

Quality Assurance: Dedicated QA throughout project (competitors often skip this): $45,000 

Training & Support: Comprehensive training and 90-day post-launch support: $42,000 

Materials & Tools: Enterprise licenses included (no additional costs): $30,000 

This price protects your budget through fixed-price structure while ensuring you receive senior expertise and comprehensive support that competitors' lower prices don't include." 

This narrative makes higher price defensible. 


The Bottom Line 

Lowest price doesn't win most government contracts. 

Best value wins. 

Price strategically: 

  • Calculate true costs 

  • Add appropriate margin 

  • Build in value elements 

  • Explain your pricing clearly 

  • Match price to evaluation method 


Don't race to bottom. Compete on value. Your goal isn't lowest price. It's best value at fair price. 

 
 
 

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